Last Sunday I played the UNDER in three games where weather was a major factor with cold temperatures, snow and heavy wind and all three games easily went OVER the total. So much for the theory that bad field conditions slow these elite athletes down.
The Eagles' game against Detroit was not one of my picks although I probably would have went with the UNDER in that game as well. It actually ended up as a PUSH on a closing line of 54 after Philly played its best fourth quarter of the season. This team had made an art of jumping out to a fast start in the first four victories of its current five game winning streak, but against the Lions, the Birds saved their best for last with a 34-point explosion after trailing 14-0 early in the third quarter. This just goes to show you that when it comes to betting the total line in the NFL, nothing is in the bag until the final gun.
Just ask the Eagles' opponent this week about that. Heading into the final quarter, the Ravens had a 7-6 lead over Minnesota so the UNDER in this game was well in hand. With a little over two minutes left in the game Baltimore went up 15-12, which was still way below the 41.5-point closing line. Over the next two minutes, the Vikings scored twice and the Ravens scored twice to take the game way OVER the total with a final score of 29-26 in favor of Baltimore.
It was back to the drawing board after last week's 0-3 fiasco, but I feel confident that it will be a complete turnaround after this Sunday's games. Below is a link to my NFL Week 15 Over/Under picks as part of an ongoing series for Doc's Sports.
NFL Totals Betting: Week 15 Over and Under Predictions