Saturday, October 31, 2015

NFL Week 8 Parlay Pick

Tortured Eagles' fans get a much needed break this week with Philly on its bye week. I actually made the right pick in last Sunday's 27-16 loss to Carolina by going with the UNDER on a closing total line of 46 with 5Dimes. This Sunday, I get to focus my full attention of the rest of the league in terms of coming up with a pair of solid picks for my weekly Two-Team NFL Parlay for Every1bets.com.

For the first game on this week's radar I stayed in the NFC East with a pick on the New York Giants on the road against the New Orleans Saints. The Giants are out in front of the muddled division race at 4-3 and the Saints have turned things around with three victories in their last four games following a dismal 0-3 start. New Orleans is listed as a three-point favorite and the betting odds for the total have been set at 49.

The back-end of this week's NFL Parlay is also a matchup involving a team from the NFC East with a play on the Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys' game. Both of these preseason division favorites find themselves in need of a win to try and turn things around from an unexpected slow start. The 3-4 Seahawks head into Big D as five-point road favorites to hand the Cowboys their fifth loss in a row following a 2-0 start. The betting line for the total in this conference clash has been set at 41.

The following is a link to this week's NFL Two-Team Parlay for Every1bets.com

NFL Week 8 Parlay Betting Picks

Saturday, October 24, 2015

Eagles at Panthers Sunday Night Preview & Pick

It was not pretty by a long stretch, but the Eagles' 27-7 victory over the New York Giants last Monday night put them back in the driver seat in the NFC East even though their record is just 3-3. They still have division losses to Dallas and Washington as part of that record, but as long as the Birds can keep finding ways to win, they will continue to be the front-runners to win the tightest NFL division race on the board.

Sunday's night contest against the 5-0 Carolina Panthers will be the true litmus test as to whether or not Philly is up to the task of holding onto that top spot. The Oddsmakers opened the Panthers as 2.5-point favorites at home for this prime-time NFC tilt and the early money from the betting public has gone towards Carolina to drive the spread up to three points.

The main thing driving the Eagles' current two-game winning streak has been the play of their defense and Carolina has also hung its hat on a unit that is ranked seventh in the NFL in total yards allowed (338) and eighth in points allowed (18.8). I have picked Philly to win twice this season and they lost. I have picked against the Birds twice and they won. This time around I am taking the easy way out with a pick on the total line which is now set at 45.5 on 5Dimes' current board after opening at 47.

Below is a link to my complete preview & pick for Sunday night's game in an article that was previously posted on Sports Betting Stats.

Philadelphia Eagles at Carolina Panthers Betting Pick

Saturday, October 17, 2015

Giants at Eagles Monday Night Preview & Pick

The battle for the top spot in the NFC Least takes center stage this Monday night when the 3-2 New York Giants square-off against the 2-3 Philadelphia Eagles. There are three other NFL teams (Green Bay, Cincinnati and Denver) that have as many wins as these two teams combined, but somebody has to win the division this year.

The Giants appear to be the front runner through the early part of the season with a three-game winning streak, but the Eagles showed some signs of life with last Sunday's romp over New Orleans. Both teams have shown the ability to play at a high level and both have also made an art of shooting themselves in the foot at the worst possible times. New York started the season 0-2 by blowing two late-game leads and Philadelphia was in excellent position to beat both Atlanta and Washington but it could not seal the deal.

Turning to Monday night's matchup, it will still come down to which team's quarterback makes the most plays and the fewest mistakes. Following that ugly loss to Dallas in Week 2, I benched Sam Bradford for Eli Manning on my fantasy football team and I now have the most points in the league. This week I decided to go back to Bradford for two reasons. First, I am still a die-hard Eagles' fan and I could never root against my team because I had the opposing team's quarterback in my fantasy lineup. The second reason I am going with Bradford is that I honestly believe that he is going to make more plays and fewer mistakes than Manning on Monday night.

Eli has been a thorn in the Eagles' side at times, but over the course of his entire career I would not say that he has had his best games against his bitter rivals. Bradford, on the other hand, is still a blank canvas in this heated division tilt and he should have an automatic edge given the Giants' lack of experience playing against him. The former first overall pick in the draft is still trying to shake off the rust from two devastating knee injuries and while his early report card in Philadelphia is barely a passing grade, I think he is primed for a coming-out party on Monday night under the prime-time lights at Lincoln Financial Field.

I have already picked the Eagles and lost. I have gone against them and lost. Things have gotten off to such a bad start with my NFC East picks (0-5)in general that my weekly preview for this division for Doc's Sports has been put on a shelf because I was costing their readers too much money (if they were dumb enough to actually bet on my unit plays).

That being said, I am going to press-on with an official pick for Monday night's showdown. I really like Philly's chances to win this game, but giving four points to the Giants is probably going to be one too many in what I see being a three-point spread. What I do like is the OVER on a total line of 49.5 as I think both teams are going to put some points on the board. I also forgot to mention that I went 2-13 with my first 15 "over/under" picks on the total line in another article for Doc's and that piece got canned as well.

Friday, October 9, 2015

NFL Week 5 Parlay Picks

Last week a went out on the limb that the Eagles would cover as three-point road favorites against Washington. I had that game in hand right down to the final minutes of the fourth quarter until the Redskins ripped all out hearts out with that last second score. This was an extremely damaging loss for Philadelphia on a number of levels and a major step backwards after taking a small step forward with the Week 3 win against the New York Jets.

This Sunday, the Birds play host to 1-3 New Orleans as 5.5-point favorites with most of the offshore sportsbooks. Given what I have seen from Chip Kelly's new look lineup, I am not sure this team can beat anyone by more than a field goal right now. They have continually found ways to shoot themselves in the foot and with a really shaky situation with their current field goal kicker there is a good chance they actually lose this game straight-up. I am not officially off of Philly's bandwagon, but I am definitely dragging one foot on the ground.

The following link is to this week's two-team parlay for Every1Bets and I will tell you right now that I am going against the Eagles this time around.

NFL Week 5 Parlay Picks

Saturday, October 3, 2015

NFL WEEK 4 BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & PREDICTIONS

The early title race in the NFC East tightened up last Sunday with Philadelphia and New York's first win combined with the Cowboys' first lost. The Eagles were able to snap-out of their two week funk to get past the New York Jets as three-point road underdogs, but at best I would say that they are still a work in progress.

Even though my confidence level in the Birds has not been fully restored I do like them this Sunday against Washington as three-point favorites on the road. This probably has more to do with how bad the Redskins looked their last time out in a 32-21 loss to the Giants that was not as nearly as close as the score might indicate. The other big reason why I made Philly one of my top picks this week is a solid run defense that should be able to neutralize Washington's biggest strength.

The following is a link to all my top picks for Week 4 of the NFL season as previously posted on FootballBetting.com.

NFL WEEK 4 BETTING ODDS, TRENDS & PREDICTIONS