The total stayed UNDER in nine of 16 games last week as points were a bit harder to come by for quite a few teams including the Eagles. They only managed to score 16 points against Andy Reid's Kansas City Chiefs in a rather ugly 26-16 loss.
The Birds racked-up 33 points against Washington in their season opener and 30 points in a losing cause against San Diego. Less points may be directly proportional to more turnovers considering that they turned the ball over five times against the Chiefs after committing just two turnovers in their first two games. This has been the Eagles' Achilles' Heal the past two seasons so lets hope that last Thursday night's game was just an aberration and not the start of another season long trend.
Getting back to scoring points, Philly faces the highest scoring team in the NFL this Sunday with a defense that is ranked 26th in the league in points allowed. To make matters worse, Denver quarterback Peyton Manning's first three games puts the future 'Hall of Famer' on pace to shatter almost every single-season passing record on the books. The only thing standing in his way of another monster day in front of the home-town crowd at Mile High is a Philadelphia secondary that is ranked 29th against the pass. There is no way that the Eagles can win this game and it is highly doubtful they will even cover the 12-point spread on the road. That being said, I am looking for a much better effort from Chip Kelly's high-octane offense that easily takes this game OVER the current 57-point total line. I am so confident that both of these teams will light-up the scoreboard to the tune of 60+ combined points that I made it one of my top three "Over/Under" picks for Week 4.
The following is a link to all three of my picks as part of my weekly series for Doc's Sports. Be sure to check back this upcoming Saturday for my complete preview of all the games in the NFC East this week.
NFL Totals Betting: Week 4 Over and Under Predictions